✈ MH370 MODELING SYSTEM — 9M-MRO
CURRENT PUBLIC CHECKPOINT · 2026-09-07
PROJECT MH370 / 9M-MRO
TRAJECTORY EPOCH 2014-03-07 18:22:12 UTC
TARGET CLEAN POST-ANCHOR V1
STATE PREDICTIVE LOCK
LATEST VALIDATED GATE — G1F_PASS

September 6 result: synthetic light-time validation passed 68/68 checks across 17 journeys. Four distinct light-time legs are implemented; forward and backward anchors recover the same journey within the declared tolerance. See Math / Gates for the independent checks and frozen-approximation comparison.

This is an independent, source-controlled MH370 inference project. The September 4 checkpoint is carried forward below: the clean SATCOM target and limited-envelope numerical machinery are established, but the full event-sequential S50 posterior has not run. Predictive execution remains locked while the Boeing 777-2H6ER / Trent 892B-17 performance source and runtime qualification are completed. The archived 31.4°S, 90.4°E model remains available in a separate historical tab.

CURRENT CONDITIONED CATALOG — NONPROBABILISTIC GEOGRAPHIC DIAGNOSTICS
DISPLAY 01
CURRENT DIAGNOSTICS
WGS84 SCHEMATIC
NO CURRENT POI · NO POSTERIOR
WHOLE-ARC S50 SWEEP: PENDING
Interpretation boundary: the boxes and points are descriptive outputs from conditioned frozen-mode audits. They are not confidence regions, credible regions, endpoint uncertainty, posterior mass, or a search recommendation.
CLEAN SATCOM TARGET — OBSERVATION OWNERSHIP AND TERMINAL MESSAGE SEMANTICS
UTC / SCOPERECORDNUMERIC POLICYACTIVE USECLASS
Pre-takeoff calibration17 BTO bias rows−8,426,548 / 17 = −495,679.29411764705 µsConditioned fixed biasESTABLISHED
16:42:32–17:07:19Three pre-anchor BTO records; 17:07:19 BFONo post-18:22 path ownershipRemoved from clean post-anchor targetREPAIRED
18:25 RequestR600 BTO17,120 − 4,600 = 12,520 µsMessage-specific Request treatmentSOURCE-LOCKED
00:19:29.416R600 Log-on Request23,000 − 4,600 = 18,400 µs; BFO 182 HzTerminal Request / transient-frequency stateACTIVE
00:19:37.443R1200 Log-on AcknowledgeRaw BTO 49,660 µs; BFO −2 HzACK BTO excluded from ordinary route likelihoodTERMINAL
Clean-target repair: pre-anchor observations no longer inherit post-anchor trajectory parameters. The clean representative north-minus-south diagnostic is −179.8536203597335 log-target units, and post-anchor BTO agrees with the causal diagnostic to 2.3283064365386963×10−10 log units.
NUMERICAL CHECKPOINT AND S50 POSTERIOR ARCHITECTURE
Latest validation: G1F_PASS. 68/68 synthetic light-time checks passed. The numerical search results below are carried forward from September 4; G1F is not a new trajectory search.
LIMITED-ENVELOPE CHECKPOINT. The 16 underlying branches and 80 continuation cases validated important numerical machinery. They are not 80 independent routes and they are not the full S50 posterior search.
NEXT INFERENCE ENGINE
NUMERICAL STATUS
BRANCHES16
CONTINUATION CASES80
BEST HIST. KKT6.08E−02
KKT ACCEPTANCE≤1.00E−02
CONFIRMED STATIONARY0
PREDICTIVE S50NOT RUN
STATE CLEAN SATCOM TARGET ................ VALID
STATE PRE-ANCHOR OWNERSHIP ............... REPAIRED
NUM  JACOBIAN ........................... 83 × 74 / RANK 74
NUM  DERIVATIVE CHECKS ................... PASSED
NUM  STATIONARITY ........................ NOT CONFIRMED
SRC  BOEING EXACT-ROW LOOKUP ............. PASS / NONPREDICTIVE ONLY
SRC  AIRCRAFT PERFORMANCE MODEL .......... BLOCKED
RUN  DEPENDENCY ACQUISITION V4 ........... PREPARED / OUTCOME NOT RECORDED
RUN  PREDICTIVE EXECUTION ................ NOT AUTHORIZED_
MATHEMATICAL CONTRACTS / FAIL-CLOSED GATES
G1F_PASS — synthetic light-time and frozen-approximation validation

Completed September 6, 2026: 68/68 checks passed across 17 synthetic journeys. This qualifies the tested light-time implementation, not a real-flight trajectory posterior.

G1F CHECKVALIDATED RESULT / SCOPE
Four light-time legsFour distinct propagation legs implemented.
Anchor consistencyForward and backward anchors recovered the same journey within the declared tolerance.
Independent validationAnalytic controls and independent Decimal-80 roots; 68/68 checks over 17 journeys.
Frozen approximationsSigned differences use SnapshotMoving − frozen, in µs. Across the finite fixtures, the largest-magnitude signed differences came from the synthetic stress case.
InterpretationThe stress-case comparison does not establish a real-flight timing correction or an endpoint shift. Aircraft-performance qualification and full S50 inference are separate gates.
Evidence: completed G1F checkpoint summary, run 20260906T195934Z_faee8e08. The underlying GATE_RESULT.json is not included in this public repository; exact per-fixture differences and tolerances are not reproduced here. This website update did not rerun the validation. Checkpoint notes · Structured checkpoint
BTO RESIDUAL
rBTO,k = BTOobs,k − BTOpred,k

Observed-minus-predicted sign convention. Observation ownership is event-specific.

FIXED BIAS
b = −8,426,548 / 17
= −495,679.29411764705 µs

Conditioned terminal-specific calibration; not transferable to another terminal.

R600 REQUEST
BTOcorr = BTOraw − 4,600 µs

Applied once to source-authorized Log-on Request records, never to the Acknowledge.

SMC UPDATE
wk(i) ∝ wk−1(i) · LBTO,k · LBFO,k · p/q

Guided proposals require the exact proposal-density correction.

PARTICLE HEALTH
ESS = 1 / Σi(wi2)

Ordinary ESS is supplemented by unique-ancestor and genealogical-ESS gates.

JACOBIAN
J ∈ ℝ83×74, rank(J)=74

Gradient relative check ≈5.020×10−6; Hessian-vector relative check ≈2.480×10−8.

ENDPOINT BANDS
Δℓ ∈ {1, 5, 10}

Score-distance bands are descriptive only. They are not normalized probability regions.

ACTIVE HARD STOP
NO_PREDICTIVE_EXECUTION_AUTHORIZED

No aircraft-performance source gate, no full S50 run.

OCEAN-FORCING ASSET READY / INFERENCE COUPLING DEFERRED
FORCING ASSET
NETCDF FILES85
BYTES≈8.44×10⁹
ARCHIVE PARTS5
RÉUNION BOUND≤508 d
COUPLING STATUS
Clean trajectory posteriorBLOCKEDObject-specific transportDEFERREDBeaching / detection modelDEFERREDSearch / bathymetry likelihoodDEFERRED
DRIFT SUBSYSTEM
DATA READY / SEED PENDING

The forcing archive is available, but no current origin ranking is authorized until a clean physical trajectory posterior exists. Historical drift shortlists remain archival.

CURRENT PUBLIC CHECKPOINT LOG
CHECKPOINT DATE ...................... 2026-09-07
G1F RESULT DATE ...................... 2026-09-06
G1F SYNTHETIC LIGHT-TIME .............. PASS / 68 OF 68 CHECKS
SYNTHETIC JOURNEYS ................... 17 / FOUR LIGHT-TIME LEGS
INDEPENDENT CONTROLS ................. ANALYTIC + DECIMAL-80 ROOTS
EARLIER STATE BELOW .................. CARRIED FORWARD FROM 2026-09-04
CLEAN POST-ANCHOR TARGET ............. VALID
PRE-ANCHOR BTO/BFO OWNERSHIP ......... REPAIRED
CLEAN COARSE EVALUATIONS ............. 26,952 FINITE
FROZEN CONDITIONED MODE CATALOG ...... 128 MODES
PHASE 4C NUMERICAL SHAKEOUT .......... 16 BRANCHES / 80 CASES
CONFIRMED STATIONARY SOLUTIONS ....... 0
S50 EVENT-SEQUENTIAL POSTERIOR ........ NOT RUN
BOEING EXACT SOURCE-ROW LOOKUP ........ PASS / NONPREDICTIVE
B777 / TRENT PHYSICAL SOURCE .......... BLOCKED
DEPENDENCY ACQUISITION V4 ............. PREPARED / RESULT PENDING
OCEAN FORCING ......................... 85 FILES / ≈8.44 GB
DRIFT COUPLING ........................ DEFERRED
PREDICTIVE EXECUTION .................. LOCKED

C:\MH370\CURRENT_STATE>_
EVENT / MESSAGE BUS
SYS Current public checkpoint initialized. Predictive execution remains locked.